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estimating p_breed #1

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@joelpick

the estimated and simulated p_breed (probability that female breeds in a given year) do not match well. This is because if a female doesn't breed and then dies, that skipped breeding isn't detected - it has to be followed by a breeding attempt. This will decrease with increasing adult survival, but will always be biased downwards. I think we can correct for this using estimated adult survival

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